TGOOD(300001) 广发证券·2025-02-09 23:54Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a current price of 23.66 CNY and a fair value of 29.29 CNY [4]. Core Views - The company is a leader in the charging pile industry, with AI infrastructure driving high growth in box transformers. The company has established a solid foundation in "smart manufacturing + system integration" and is experiencing a significant turning point with its subsidiary, which has achieved profitability for the first time in 2023 [8]. - The company expects substantial growth in net profit, forecasting a 70%-90% increase in 2024, driven by the rising penetration of new energy vehicles and improved charging pile utilization rates [8]. Summary by Sections 1. Business Overview - The company has a dual business model focusing on smart box power equipment and electric vehicle charging networks. The revenue from smart manufacturing and system integration accounted for 58.02% of total revenue in 2024H1, while the electric vehicle charging network contributed 41.98% [19][20]. - The company has a strong market position in both segments, with its subsidiary being the largest charging network operator in China, holding a market share of 19.8% with 709,000 public charging piles as of 2024 [20]. 2. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 14.602 billion CNY in 2023, a 25.6% increase from the previous year, with a net profit of 491 million CNY, reflecting an 80.4% year-on-year growth [3][34]. - For 2024, the company anticipates a net profit between 835 million and 933 million CNY, representing a growth of 70%-90% [34]. 3. Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for charging infrastructure due to the rising penetration of new energy vehicles and supportive government policies. The charging equipment market is expected to grow significantly, with projections of 213 billion CNY in 2025 [8]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence and collaborating with major telecom operators and cloud service providers, enhancing its competitive edge [8]. 4. Profitability and Valuation - The report forecasts the company's net profit to reach 1.618 billion CNY by 2026, with corresponding EPS of 1.53 CNY per share. The company is valued at a P/E ratio of 25x for 2025, leading to a fair value estimate of 29.29 CNY per share [3][8].