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亚马逊:短期业绩指引不及预期,长期有望实现技术壁垒

Investment Rating - The report indicates a cautious outlook for Amazon, with a focus on long-term potential despite short-term performance concerns [1]. Core Insights - Amazon's 2024 revenue reached 638billion,an11638 billion, an 11% increase year-over-year, with net profit rising approximately 95% to 59.2 billion [1]. - The company anticipates Q1 2025 revenue between 151billionand151 billion and 155.5 billion, reflecting a growth of 5% to 9%, which is below Wall Street expectations due to adverse currency effects [1]. - AWS business growth remains steady at around 20%, but is slightly below market expectations, impacted by supply constraints and hardware production delays [3]. - The integration of generative AI is enhancing customer service and operational efficiency, with improvements in customer satisfaction and inventory management accuracy [3]. - Despite potential short-term profit margin pressures due to high investments in AI, the long-term outlook remains positive due to technological barriers and industry positioning [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Amazon's 2024 total revenue was 638billion,agrowthof11638 billion, a growth of 11% from the previous year, with a net profit of 59.2 billion, up from 30.4billionin2023[1].RevenueGuidanceThecompanyprojectsQ12025revenuetobebetween30.4 billion in 2023 [1]. Revenue Guidance - The company projects Q1 2025 revenue to be between 151 billion and $155.5 billion, indicating a growth rate of 5% to 9%, which is lower than market expectations [1]. AWS Business Analysis - AWS has maintained a revenue growth rate of approximately 20%, but faces challenges from supply limitations and delays in hardware production, with recovery expected in the second half of 2025 [3]. AI Integration and Impact - Generative AI applications are being scaled, leading to improvements in customer service satisfaction by 5% and inventory management accuracy by 10%-20% [3]. - The report suggests that while short-term profit margins may be squeezed due to AI investments, the long-term benefits from technological advancements and market positioning are promising [3].