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亚马逊:利润大超预期,业绩指引相对疲软-20250213

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Amazon (AMZN.US) with a target price raised to 282,indicatingapotentialupsideof21282, indicating a potential upside of 21% from the current price of 232.76 [3][4]. Core Insights - Amazon's Q4 2024 revenue is projected at 187.79billion,reflectinga10187.79 billion, reflecting a 10% year-over-year growth, slightly exceeding market expectations. The net profit is expected to reach 20 billion, marking an 88% increase year-over-year, significantly surpassing market forecasts. E-commerce revenue is anticipated to grow by 9%, while AWS revenue is expected to rise by 19%. However, the guidance for Q1 2025 is relatively weak, with revenue expected between 151.0billionand151.0 billion and 155.5 billion, which is 3.6% below market expectations. Capital expenditures are projected to increase to 105billionin2025[1][2].FinancialProjectionsSummaryRevenuefor2025isestimatedat105 billion in 2025 [1][2]. Financial Projections Summary - Revenue for 2025 is estimated at 704.87 billion, a slight decrease of 0.1% from previous forecasts. Gross profit is projected at 349.94billion,down0.7349.94 billion, down 0.7%, with a gross margin of 49.6%. Operating profit is expected to be 80.58 billion, reflecting a 6.1% decrease, with an operating margin of 11.4%. Net profit is forecasted at $67.11 billion, also down 6.1%, with a net margin of 9.5% [2].