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Datadog Inc-A:Entering an investment phase to drive growth in next stage-20250214
DDOGDatadog(DDOG) 招银国际·2025-02-14 02:07

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "BUY" rating for Datadog (DDOG US), indicating a potential return of over 15% over the next 12 months [1][16]. Core Insights - Datadog's total revenue for 4Q24 was US737.7million,reflectinga25737.7 million, reflecting a 25% year-over-year growth, which is 3% above Bloomberg consensus forecasts [1]. - The company is entering an investment phase aimed at driving long-term growth, with management planning to increase spending on sales and marketing (S&M) and research and development (R&D) in 2025 [1][5]. - The target price for Datadog is set at US156.4, up from a previous target of US154.3,basedonavaluationof16.6x2025EEV/sales[1][2].FinancialPerformanceSummaryForFY24,totalrevenuereachedUS154.3, based on a valuation of 16.6x 2025E EV/sales [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - For FY24, total revenue reached US2.68 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 26%, and non-GAAP net income increased by 41% to US653.8million[1][6].KeyoperatingmetricsincludebillingsofUS653.8 million [1][6]. - Key operating metrics include billings of US908 million (up 26% YoY), and a net dollar-based retention rate in the high-110s percentage [5][6]. - The company had over 30,000 customers by the end of 2024, with significant growth in large customers contributing to the annual recurring revenue (ARR) [5]. Future Guidance - Management expects 1Q25 revenue to be between US737741million,representingapproximately21737-741 million, representing approximately 21% growth YoY, and non-GAAP net income per share to be between US0.41-0.43 [5]. - For FY25, revenue is projected to be between US3.175billionandUS3.175 billion and US3.195 billion, indicating an 18-19% growth YoY [5][6]. - Operating expenses are expected to grow in the high-20s percentage YoY, which may impact near-term margins but is aimed at supporting long-term growth [1][5]. Shareholder Structure - Major shareholders include Vanguard Group Inc (9.2%) and Blackrock Inc. (6.8%) [3]. Market Performance - The current market capitalization of Datadog is approximately US48.735billion,witha52weekhighofUS48.735 billion, with a 52-week high of US168.65 and a low of US$104.97 [2][3]. - The stock has shown a 1-month performance of -2.3% and a 6-month performance of 19.0% [3].