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AI+医疗行业深度:AI+医药:势不可挡,未来已至
中邮证券·2025-02-19 07:16

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Strong Outperform" and is maintained [1] Core Insights - The global market for "AI + Healthcare" solutions is expected to exceed 100billion,enteringaphaseofacceleratedcommercialization.Themarketsizeisprojectedtogrowfrom100 billion, entering a phase of accelerated commercialization. The market size is projected to grow from 13.7 billion in 2022 to 155.3billionby2030,withaCAGRof35.5155.3 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 35.5%, indicating explosive growth opportunities in the sector [5][13] - Domestic macro policies are favorable for AI drug development, with accelerated approval for medical AI Class III certifications. The "AI + Healthcare" sector has significant advantages over traditional pharmaceutical R&D, establishing a competitive moat through the integration of algorithms, data, and clinical scenarios [5][14] - The rapid development of large models in the healthcare industry has led major tech companies, pharmaceutical firms, and startups to increase their investments in AI applications. Key areas of focus include AI + Drug Development, AI + Imaging/Surgery, AI + Diagnostic Assistance, and AI + Healthcare Services [5][19] Summary by Sections Market Growth and Opportunities - The global AI solutions market is expected to grow from 43.3 billion in 2018 to 139.5billionin2022,withaCAGRof34.0139.5 billion in 2022, with a CAGR of 34.0%. The healthcare segment is projected to grow from 13.7 billion in 2022 to $155.3 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 35.5% [13][19] - The AI + Healthcare sector is anticipated to experience explosive growth in sub-sectors such as AI drug development, genetic sequencing, and surgical robots [13][19] Policy Support - The Chinese government has introduced several policies to promote the application of AI in healthcare, emphasizing the integration of AI technologies in drug development and healthcare services [14][15] Competitive Landscape - AI pharmaceutical companies are characterized by strong AI technology platforms and partnerships with large pharmaceutical firms, leading to rapid revenue growth. The companies are transitioning from AI-SaaS to AI-CRO models, with some evolving into AI-Biotech firms [5][26] - The report identifies key players in various segments, including AI + Drug Development (e.g., Crystal Holding, Hongbo Pharmaceutical), AI + Imaging (e.g., United Imaging, MicroPort), and AI + Diagnostic Assistance (e.g., BGI, RunDa Medical) [5][21] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a prudent allocation strategy, focusing on sectors with clear commercialization models and significant technological replacement potential. Beneficiary stocks include Crystal Holding, Hongbo Pharmaceutical, BGI, and MicroPort [5][19] - For more speculative investments, areas such as AI + Wearables, AI + Brain-Computer Interfaces, and AI + Gene Editing are highlighted, with potential beneficiaries including Loxin Medical and Sanbo Brain Science [5][19]