GENSCRIPT BIO(01548) 交银国际证券·2025-02-20 08:01Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for King’s Ray Bio (1548 HK) with a target price of HKD 28.75, indicating a potential upside of 140% from the current price of HKD 11.98 [2][3]. Core Insights - King’s Ray Bio is expected to achieve a significant increase in net profit in 2024, primarily driven by a one-time unrealized gain of approximately USD 3.2 billion from the sale of Legend Biotech, which exceeds previous estimates of USD 2-3 billion [1]. - The company is projected to fully enter the profit zone starting in 2024, with a recovery in the GCT (Gene Cell Therapy) business expected to continue through 2025-2026, leading to a revenue growth rate of around 20% for non-cellular business [1]. - The improvement in the company's fundamentals, coupled with a recovery in investor sentiment, is anticipated to drive valuation recovery, as geopolitical factors and favorable policies for innovative drug payments are expected to enhance investment sentiment in the CXO sector [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The report highlights that the adjusted net profit for non-cellular business in 2024 will remain stable compared to 2023, with no significant changes expected [1]. - The tax losses from Legend Biotech prior to its merger will be accounted for in non-continuing operations, while post-merger, it will be accounted for using the equity method [1]. Market Outlook - The report notes a strong recovery trend in new orders for protein/antibody drugs and GCT, with first-half 2024 new orders recovering to 13 and 24 respectively, compared to 10 and 21 in the first half of 2023 [1]. - The sentiment in the market is improving, with King’s Ray's stock price rising 34% from its year-to-date low, significantly outperforming the Hang Seng Medical Index and the Hang Seng Index, both of which increased by 19% [1].