An Evaluation of the World Bank Group’s Support to Electricity Access in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2015–24 (Approach Paper)

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the electricity access sector in Sub-Saharan Africa Core Insights - The World Bank Group aims to support electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa, with a target to provide access to 300 million people by 2030, addressing the significant gap in electricity access in the region [27][34] - The evaluation highlights the importance of reliable, sustainable, and affordable electricity access for improving human welfare and boosting productivity, which is essential for economic development [3][24] - The report identifies a financing gap of approximately US$35 billion to US$50 billion annually needed to achieve the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 7 for universal electricity access by 2030 [23] Summary by Sections Background and Context - The evaluation assesses the World Bank Group's contributions to electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa from 2015 to 2024, focusing on the region's significant electricity access gaps [2][1] - Over 85% of the global population without electricity access resides in Sub-Saharan Africa, with a stark urban-rural divide in access levels [8][12] Evolution of the World Bank Group's Electricity Access Agenda - The Bank Group has engaged in systematic support for electricity access in low-access countries, developing national electrification plans and supporting various projects across Sub-Saharan Africa [25][26] - The Corporate Scorecard monitors progress in electricity access, focusing on direct and inferred access through various interventions [26] Rationale and Objective of the Evaluation - The evaluation aims to assess the relevance, effectiveness, and coherence of the Bank Group's support for scaling up electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa [34][3] - It emphasizes the need to evaluate not just connectivity but also the reliability, sustainability, and affordability of electricity access [29][30] Barriers to Electrification - Key barriers identified include insufficient planning, high costs of electrification, and unsustainable business models for power system operators [39][3] - The report stresses the importance of national electrification plans (NEPs) as a strategy for expanding access to electricity [40] Government Actions and World Bank Group Activities - The World Bank supports the design and operationalization of NEPs, providing technical assistance and resources for new connections [41][42] - The report outlines the Bank Group's role in improving regulatory frameworks to attract private sector investments in electricity access [45][46] Intermediate Outcomes and Impact - The theory of change suggests that effective interventions can lead to increased electricity access, improved welfare, and enhanced productivity for households [48][50] - The report indicates that achieving universal access requires collaboration among stakeholders, including governments, private sector participants, and development partners [50][27] Evaluation Scope and Design - The evaluation covers projects and activities from FY15 to FY24, focusing on their impact on electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa [52][51] - A mixed methods approach will be used to assess the relevance, effectiveness, and coherence of the Bank Group's interventions [60][61]