SharkNinja Inc：有望进一步验证基本面“线性外推”逻辑-20250225

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for SharkNinja, Inc. with a target price of US$122.25, indicating a potential upside of 19$102.70 [1][5]. Core Insights - SharkNinja has demonstrated a strong track record of product innovation and market expansion, with a revenue CAGR of 17% to 21% over the past years, reflecting its high success rate in new product launches [3]. - The company is expected to achieve double-digit revenue growth this year, with new product introductions contributing significantly to its sales [3]. - The financial outlook remains positive, with revenue and profit guidance raised to a year-on-year growth of 10%-12% and 12%-15%, respectively [4]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for SharkNinja are as follows: - 2025E: US$6.367 billion - 2026E: US$7.241 billion - 2027E: US$8.084 billion [6][11]. - Adjusted net profit estimates are: - 2025E: US$731 million - 2026E: US$854 million - 2027E: US$976 million [6][11]. - The expected EPS for 2025 is US$5.21, increasing to US$6.09 in 2026 and US$6.96 in 2027 [6][11]. Valuation Metrics - The report maintains a target price of US$122.25, corresponding to a P/E ratio of 20x for 2026, indicating a favorable risk-reward profile [5][7]. - The company’s current P/E ratio is 19.7, which is competitive compared to its peers in the durable consumer goods sector [9]. Market Performance - SharkNinja's stock has shown a trading range between US$90 and US$110, with expectations of continued fluctuations in the near term [4]. - The company is focusing on meeting demand for its top products in North America while expanding into European markets [4]. Product Innovation - SharkNinja plans to introduce 25 new products this year, including enhancements to existing lines and new entries into beauty and kitchen appliance categories [3]. - The successful launch of products like the CryoGlow beauty device has already shown promising sales, further validating the company's innovation strategy [3]. Shareholder Information - The major shareholder, Wang Xuning, holds 48% of the company, indicating a strong insider commitment to the company's future [1]. Conclusion - Overall, the report presents a positive outlook for SharkNinja, highlighting its strong growth potential driven by innovation and market expansion, while maintaining a favorable valuation compared to peers [5][9].