STL(002648) 群益证券·2025-02-26 08:57Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [2][5]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 47.426 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 14.32%. The net profit is projected to be 6.082 billion RMB, up 26.99% year-over-year [5]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 showed significant growth, with revenue reaching 15.150 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 42.86%, and a net profit of 2.389 billion RMB, up 71.20% year-over-year [5]. - The company is benefiting from new capacity releases and price recovery in certain products, which have contributed to the unexpected profit growth in Q4 [5]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic light hydrocarbon cracking industry, focusing on high-value-added products in the C2 and C3 industrial chains [5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the chemical industry, with a market capitalization of 69.451 billion RMB and a share price of 20.63 RMB as of February 25, 2025 [1]. Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 6.082 billion RMB for 2024, with projections of 7.393 billion RMB for 2025 and 8.957 billion RMB for 2026, reflecting growth rates of 21.55% and 21.16% respectively [7]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.81 RMB in 2024, 2.19 RMB in 2025, and 2.66 RMB in 2026 [7]. Revenue and Cost Structure - The projected revenue for 2024 is 47.426 billion RMB, with operating costs estimated at 37.075 billion RMB, leading to an operating profit of 7.067 billion RMB [10]. - The company is investing in new projects, including a 25.7 billion RMB high-end new materials industrial park, which is expected to enhance the value of its C2 industrial chain [5]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is expanding its production capacity with multiple projects set to launch in 2025 and 2026, which will drive rapid growth in performance [5]. - The company has established a closed-loop industrial chain for propylene, propylene acid, and propylene acid esters, which helps in reducing production costs and increasing profitability [5].