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沃尔玛:FY25 Q4业绩点评:全球电商业务持续发力,业绩和盈利能力维持稳中有升-20250226

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Neutral" [5][7]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated steady growth in performance, with global e-commerce continuing to gain momentum. For FY25 Q4, revenue increased by 4.1% year-on-year to 180.6billion,withagrossmarginimprovementof53basispointsto23.9180.6 billion, with a gross margin improvement of 53 basis points to 23.9% [7]. - The company's revenue for FY2025 is projected to grow by 4.96% to 674.54 billion, with net profit increasing to 19.44billion[7].Thegrowthinecommercerevenuewassignificant,risingby1619.44 billion [7]. - The growth in e-commerce revenue was significant, rising by 16% to 117.3 billion, accounting for 17.4% of total revenue [7]. - The U.S. segment saw a revenue increase of 5.0% to 123.5billion,withecommercegrowingby20123.5 billion, with e-commerce growing by 20% and advertising revenue up by 24% [7]. - International revenue was slightly impacted by currency fluctuations, with a year-on-year decline of 0.7% to 32.2 billion, although e-commerce sales grew by 20% in the second half of the year [7]. - The company expects revenue growth of approximately 3.0%-4.0% for FY2026 and Q1 FY26, with adjusted EPS projected at 0.570.57-0.58 [7]. Financial Summary - For FY2025, the company forecasts total revenue of 680,985million,withagrowthrateof5.07680,985 million, with a growth rate of 5.07% [5]. - The projected net profit for FY2025 is 19,436 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.05% [5]. - The company anticipates continued growth in net profit for FY2026 and beyond, with estimates of 21,039millionforFY2026and21,039 million for FY2026 and 23,275 million for FY2027 [5][8]. - Key financial metrics include a projected P/E ratio of 39.17 for FY2025, decreasing to 29.33 by FY2028 [8].