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建筑与工程:美俄会谈达成共识,国际工程有望受益
长江证券·2025-02-27 01:43

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and is maintained [9] Core Viewpoints - Recent discussions between the US and Russia have reached a consensus, which is expected to benefit international engineering projects. The focus is on the reconstruction of Ukraine, which may drive infrastructure-related demand [2][8] - The reconstruction needs of Ukraine are estimated at 486billion,approximately2.8timesthecountrysnominalGDPfor2023.Thisdemandisdrivenbyextensivewarimpactsacrossvarioussectors,withhousingneedsbeingthehighestatover486 billion, approximately 2.8 times the country's nominal GDP for 2023. This demand is driven by extensive war impacts across various sectors, with housing needs being the highest at over 80 billion [8][10] Summary by Relevant Sections Event Description - The recent international engineering projects have gained significant attention due to the ongoing geopolitical developments [6] Event Commentary - The US and Russia have agreed to appoint teams to work towards ending the Ukraine conflict and restoring embassy staff configurations. This is seen as a first step towards resolving the crisis [7][9] - The reconstruction of Ukraine is anticipated to stimulate demand for infrastructure projects, particularly in housing, transportation, and energy sectors [10][11] Company Focus - Key companies that may benefit from this situation include: 1. China Steel International, which signed a contract for a 5 million tons/year project in Ukraine, with overseas revenue of 9.73 billion yuan in 2023, accounting for 36.9% of total revenue [8] 2. China National Materials, with overseas revenue of 20.09 billion yuan in 2023, representing 43.9% of total revenue [8] 3. Northern International, focusing on "Belt and Road" countries, with overseas revenue of 12.69 billion yuan in 2023, making up 59.1% of total revenue [8] 4. China Chemical, which previously won a contract for a significant project in Ukraine, with overseas revenue of 35.53 billion yuan in 2023, accounting for 19.8% of total revenue [8] 5. Other major construction companies like China State Construction, China Communications Construction, and China Railway Construction may also have opportunities in the region [8]