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中科星图:AI+低空之王的未来之路
688568Geovis(688568) 德邦证券·2025-02-28 14:23

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The low-altitude industry is in its early stages, characterized by a combination of rule establishment, policy support, and technological innovation, with the potential to reach a market size of 10 trillion yuan [4][20] - The company is positioned as a leader in the AI and low-altitude sectors, leveraging its resources and market mechanisms to drive growth and innovation [5][9] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The low-altitude economy in China reached 505.95 billion yuan in 2023, with a growth rate of 33.8%, and is expected to exceed 1 trillion yuan by 2026 [4][32] - AI is considered the core of the low-altitude industry, enhancing operational efficiency and reducing costs significantly [4][46] - The company has signed over 15 strategic cooperation agreements in low-altitude regions, indicating strong market demand and potential for nationwide standard-setting [6] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company’s revenue is projected to be 3.257 billion yuan in 2024, 4.311 billion yuan in 2025, and 6.174 billion yuan in 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 29.5%, 32.3%, and 43.2% respectively [10][32] - Net profit is expected to reach 352 million yuan in 2024, 490 million yuan in 2025, and 809 million yuan in 2026, with growth rates of 2.7%, 39.3%, and 65.1% respectively [10][32] Distinct Perspectives from the Market - The company is redefined as a generative AI application company rather than a traditional remote sensing satellite application company, with potential for subscription-based revenue models [11] - The company is actively leading the upgrade of business models in the low-altitude sector, moving towards an AI SaaS enterprise model [11] - The company possesses comprehensive capabilities in IaaS, PaaS, and SaaS for low-altitude operations, positioning it well for future growth [11][12] Market Catalysts - The acceleration of low-altitude infrastructure support policies and the signing of strategic cooperation agreements are key factors that could drive the company's growth [14]