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电子行业:中国ICT支出稳定增长,全球AIPC渗透加速
Ping An Securities·2025-03-02 10:19

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the industry index is expected to perform better than the market by more than 5% over the next six months [34]. Core Insights - The Chinese ICT market is projected to grow to $751.76 billion by 2028, with the enterprise-level ICT market expected to reach approximately $269.36 billion in 2024, reflecting an 11.7% increase from 2023 [2][5]. - In 2024, global AI PCs are anticipated to account for 17% of total PC shipments, with Apple leading the market at 54% share, followed by Lenovo and HP at 12% each. The fourth quarter of 2024 is expected to see AI PC shipments reach 15.4 million units, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 18% [2][10]. - The global DRAM industry revenue is projected to reach $28.6 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.9%. Samsung holds the largest market share at 39.3%, followed by SK Hynix and Micron [2][15]. Summary by Sections Industry News and Commentary - The semiconductor industry is currently in a recovery phase, driven by a rebound in consumer electronics, which is expected to initiate a new upward cycle for semiconductors. Key investment lines include wafer fab expansion and the A1 industry chain [2][28]. - The semiconductor industry index has shown a year-to-date increase of 37.6%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 24.2 percentage points [21]. Market Performance - The semiconductor industry index experienced a weekly decline of 3.62%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.4 percentage points [21]. - As of the last trading day of the week, the overall P/E ratio for the semiconductor industry was 84.2 times, with 34 stocks rising, 1 remaining flat, and 126 declining [24]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Northern Huachuang, Zhongwei Company, Tuojing Technology, and Dinglong Co., with a focus on A1+ semiconductor investment opportunities such as Haiguang Information, Shengke Communication, Hengxuan Technology, and Shenghong Technology [28][32].