Investment Rating - Industry investment rating: Outperform the market (expected to outperform the CSI 300 index by more than 5% in the next 6 months) [1][44] Core Viewpoints - The overall procurement scale in 2024 is expected to be 137.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20%, primarily due to the pace of equipment updates at the beginning of 2024. However, a significant improvement is anticipated in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 due to rapid implementation of equipment updates and accelerated budget usage by hospitals [3][11] - High-end imaging equipment is experiencing a notable recovery in bidding activities, with significant year-on-year growth rates observed in CT and MRI equipment procurement in late 2024 and early 2025 [5][19] - The domestic equipment localization rate is steadily increasing, driven by intensified price competition and supportive policies for domestic medical devices. Leading domestic companies are gaining market share in key equipment categories [6][31] Summary by Sections Procurement Scale and Trends - The procurement scale for medical devices in 2024 is projected to be 137.1 billion yuan, down 20% year-on-year, with a recovery expected in Q4 2024 due to equipment updates and budget utilization [3][11] - In December 2024, procurement reached 25.3 billion yuan, a 49% increase year-on-year, and in January 2025, it reached 16.9 billion yuan, a 40% increase year-on-year [3][11] High-end Imaging Equipment - High-end imaging equipment, particularly CT and MRI, is seeing a resurgence in procurement, with December 2024 CT procurement growing by 70% year-on-year and MRI by 55% [5][19] - PET equipment also shows significant growth, with December 2024 procurement increasing by 200% year-on-year and January 2025 by 546% [5][19] Localization Rate - The localization rate for major medical equipment is expected to improve in 2024, supported by competitive pricing and government policies favoring domestic products [6][30] - Leading domestic companies such as Mindray, United Imaging, and others are expected to increase their market share in key segments like CT, MRI, and PET equipment [31][30] Investment Recommendations - Looking ahead to 2025, the ongoing equipment update policies are expected to positively impact industry bidding growth. Key companies in high-end and intelligent medical equipment should be closely monitored [40][41]
医疗设备招投标数据跟踪:设备更新持续推进,高端国产化趋势显著
Ping An Securities·2025-03-03 08:10