ZTE(000063) 国金证券·2025-03-03 11:07Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [3][11]. Core Insights - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 121.299 billion RMB, a decrease of 2.38% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.425 billion RMB, down 9.66% year-on-year [1]. - The operator business is under short-term pressure, while the government-enterprise and consumer sectors are experiencing rapid growth, with government-enterprise revenue increasing by 36.68% and consumer revenue by 16.12% [1]. - The company is capitalizing on AI opportunities, with overseas data center orders growing by over 100% year-on-year, driven by high-performance training servers and cost-effective inference servers [2]. - The self-developed chip business is opening up growth space for the company, with significant advancements in chip design capabilities and high-performance hardware [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4, the company achieved a revenue of 31.254 billion RMB, a decline of 10.34% year-on-year, and a net profit of 518 million RMB, down 65.08% year-on-year [1]. - The company expects revenues of 130.537 billion RMB, 140.723 billion RMB, and 153.672 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 9.533 billion RMB, 11.081 billion RMB, and 12.528 billion RMB [3][6]. Business Segments - The operator network business generated 70.327 billion RMB, a decrease of 15.02% year-on-year, primarily due to the overall investment environment in the country [1]. - The government-enterprise business's gross margin was 15.33%, down 19.58 percentage points, affected by declining margins in servers and storage [1]. Market Opportunities - The company is leveraging AI developments to mitigate cyclical fluctuations caused by declining capital expenditures in the operator sector, which is expected to stabilize performance [2]. - The introduction of self-developed high-density switches and chips is anticipated to enhance the company's competitive edge and valuation [3].