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ZLABZAI LAB(ZLAB) 华兴证券·2025-03-04 19:11

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Zai Lab (ZLAB US) with a target price of US62.32,indicatinganupsidepotentialof8062.32, indicating an upside potential of 80% from the current price of US34.64 [1]. Core Insights - The company is expected to experience significant revenue growth, with a projected revenue of US5.605.90billionfor2025,followingastrongperformancein2024whererevenuereachedUS5.60-5.90 billion for 2025, following a strong performance in 2024 where revenue reached US399 million, a 50% year-over-year increase [3][8]. - The inclusion of key products in the National Reimbursement Drug List (NRDL) has driven rapid revenue growth, particularly for Weiqijia and Weilian, which achieved sales of US93.6 million in 2024 [4]. - The company has effectively controlled expenses, with R&D spending decreasing by 11.6% to US235 million in 2024, contributing to improved operational efficiency [5][8]. Financial Summary - The financial projections for Zai Lab are as follows: - Revenue (USmillion):2022A:215,2023A:267,2024E:398,2025E:562,2026E:920[7].GrossProfit(US million): 2022A: 215, 2023A: 267, 2024E: 398, 2025E: 562, 2026E: 920 [7]. - Gross Profit (US million): 2022A: 141, 2023A: 171, 2024E: 259, 2025E: 364, 2026E: 593 [7]. - Net Profit (USmillion):2022A:(443),2023A:(334),2024E:(307),2025E:(205),2026E:22[7].EarningsperShare(US million): 2022A: (443), 2023A: (334), 2024E: (307), 2025E: (205), 2026E: 22 [7]. - Earnings per Share (US): 2022A: (4.63), 2023A: (3.42), 2024E: (3.13), 2025E: (2.10), 2026E: 0.22 [7].