MELCO INT'L DEV(00200) 东吴证券国际·2025-03-05 03:59Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][6] Core Views - The company's performance in Q4 2024 was below expectations, with adjusted property EBITDA margin declining by 3.6 percentage points. The net revenue for Q4 2024 was 3 million in 1H25, following a peak of $3.2 million in Q4 2024 due to increased promotional activities and employee compensation [6] - The company expects to maintain its market share and has seen a 17% year-on-year increase in property foot traffic during the Chinese New Year period [6] Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The company forecasts total revenue of HKD 36.62 billion for 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 24%. Adjusted property EBITDA is projected at HKD 9.47 billion, reflecting a 26.2% increase [1][7] - The current stock price corresponds to EV/Adjusted EBITDA multiples of 7.2, 6.0, and 5.5 for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [6][7] - The target price is set at HKD 6.6, with net income forecasts of HKD 36.62 billion, HKD 40.24 billion, and HKD 42.52 billion for 2024, 2025, and 2026 [6][7]