MGI(688114) 国盛证券·2025-03-06 00:29Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in Q4 2024, with a significant increase in revenue and a positive outlook for domestic market opportunities due to the accelerated domestic substitution in the gene sequencing industry [2][3] - The company is expected to benefit from the inclusion of Illumina in the entity list, which provides an opportunity to capture market share [2] - The company has made substantial progress in its overseas localization strategy, enhancing its global production and service capabilities [3] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 3.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.28%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -599 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.38% [1] - For Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 1.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 89.61% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 103.28% [1] - The company has a strong order backlog of 820 million yuan as of Q3 2024, with 520 million yuan from the domestic market and 300 million yuan from overseas [4] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 are 3.21 billion yuan, 3.70 billion yuan, and 4.23 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 10.3%, 15.2%, and 14.4% respectively [4] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are -599 million yuan, -196 million yuan, and -73 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 1.4%, 67.2%, and 63.0% respectively [4] Market Position and Strategy - The company has established 23 domestic subsidiaries and 24 overseas subsidiaries, along with 9 R&D centers and 7 production bases globally [3] - The company has enhanced its marketing and channel expansion efforts, leading to a significant increase in the installation of gene sequencers [2][3]