JACK(SH:603337) Wanlian Securities·2025-03-06 10:23Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Jack Co., Ltd. (杰克股份) with a target price of 38.41 CNY per share, corresponding to a 2024 PE of 23X [4][12]. Core Views - The industrial sewing machine industry is currently in an upward cycle after experiencing periodic adjustments, with Jack Co., Ltd. benefiting as a leading player in the sector. The revenue inflection point is expected in 2024, with continuous improvement in profitability [2][12]. - The company maintains a strong advantage in traditional business while actively launching high-margin products to meet core customer needs. The domestic market share for industrial sewing machines is on the rise [3][11]. - Jack Co., Ltd. is also exploring smart integrated solutions in response to the intelligent development trend in the downstream textile and apparel industry, aiming to create a second growth curve [2][11]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The industrial sewing machine industry has undergone cyclical adjustments and is now experiencing a recovery. China has become the world's largest producer of industrial sewing machines, with a typical cycle of 3-4 years. The industry faced a downturn in 2022-2023 due to global economic slowdowns and geopolitical tensions, with production dropping over 40% from the 2021 peak [2][19]. - In 2024, the domestic textile and apparel market is showing signs of improvement, which is expected to drive demand for sewing machines significantly in the second half of the year [2][19][20]. Company Profile - Jack Co., Ltd. is a leading player in the domestic industrial sewing machine market, with over 85% of its revenue coming from this core business. The company has diversified its product line through strategic acquisitions and has expanded its international presence [3][39]. - The company’s revenue is projected to recover, with a forecasted increase in net profit from 538.43 million CNY in 2023 to 1.20 billion CNY by 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.45% from 2021 to 2023 [3][12]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue for 2024 is expected to reach approximately 6.09 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 15.13% compared to 2023. The net profit is projected to grow by 50.03% to 807.81 million CNY in 2024 [3][12]. - The company has maintained a stable expense ratio while improving its gross margin, primarily driven by the profitability of its overseas business [10][12]. Product Strategy - Jack Co., Ltd. has a comprehensive product range that includes pre-sewing, sewing, and post-sewing equipment, with a focus on high-margin products. The company has launched flagship products like the "Fast Response King" flat sewing machine and the "Overlock King" overlock machine to capture market demand [11][40]. - The company is also investing in smart integrated solutions, including intelligent cutting and logistics systems, to enhance its competitive edge in the digital transformation of the industry [11][12].