政策积极有为，深化投融资改革

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for both the banking and securities sectors [7] Core Views - The report emphasizes proactive policies aimed at deepening investment and financing reforms, with a GDP growth target of 5% for 2025, consistent with 2024 expectations [1][2] - The fiscal deficit rate is set at a historical high of 4%, which is expected to support bank expansion and improve valuation expectations [3] - The report highlights the importance of structural monetary policy tools to promote healthy development in the real estate and stock markets, with a focus on technology innovation and green development [2][5] Summary by Sections Policy and Economic Outlook - The government work report indicates a stable economic growth target of 5% for 2025, with a fiscal deficit rate of 4%, the highest since 2008 [1][3] - Emphasis on timely policy implementation to enhance effectiveness and address uncertainties [2] Banking Sector Insights - The report suggests that the high fiscal deficit will support bank capital expansion, with plans to issue special government bonds worth 500 billion yuan to bolster large state-owned commercial banks [3] - Recommended banking stocks include China Merchants Bank, Chengdu Bank, Suzhou Bank, Shanghai Bank, and others, with target prices reflecting potential upside [10][15] Securities Sector Insights - The report recommends securities firms like China Galaxy and CITIC Securities, citing active market trading and ongoing M&A expectations as catalysts for growth [1][10] - The A-share market remains active, with average daily trading volumes exceeding 1.5 trillion yuan, indicating strong investor confidence [5] Risk Management and Financial Stability - The report outlines measures to stabilize the real estate market and manage risks in key sectors, including support for small and medium-sized financial institutions [4] - It emphasizes the need for ongoing reforms to enhance the resilience of the financial system and mitigate potential risks [4][5]