美国经济：不确定性上升

Economic Indicators - The ISM Services PMI rose from 52.8 in January to 53.5 in February, exceeding market expectations of 52.5, indicating a faster expansion in the services sector[2] - The Manufacturing PMI decreased from 50.9 in January to 50.3 in February, below the expected 50.8, suggesting a slowdown in manufacturing activity[2] Inflation and Employment - The price index for services increased from 60.4 to 62.6, indicating persistent inflationary pressures in core services[2] - The employment index in the services sector rose from 52.3 to 53.9, although key sectors like healthcare showed contraction in February[2] Market Reactions and Predictions - The significant decline in U.S. stock markets signals potential economic slowdown, prompting concerns over the impact of Trump's policies on the economy[1] - The Federal Reserve is expected to pause interest rate cuts in March, May, and June, with a potential cut in September or December[1]