信义玻璃：静待浮法玻璃行业供需格局改善-20250307

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Hold" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 8.68, indicating an expected upside of 11% from the current price of HKD 7.84 [1][6]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing a significant decline in profitability, with a projected 31% decrease in net profit for 2024, attributed to weak demand for float glass, price declines, and substantial losses from joint ventures [3][8]. - The float glass industry is facing pressure from excess inventory and weak downstream demand, particularly in real estate and deep processing sectors, leading to a need for improvement in the supply-demand balance [4][9]. - The company has a competitive advantage in glass deep processing, particularly in the automotive glass segment, which is expected to see continued demand growth in 2025 [5][10]. - The company maintains a stable high dividend payout, with a projected dynamic dividend yield exceeding 5% for 2025 [6][11]. Financial Summary - For 2024, the company is expected to report revenues of RMB 22.32 billion, a decline of 8.1% year-on-year, with net profit dropping to RMB 3.37 billion [7][8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to decrease to 79.23 cents, with a total dividend of HKD 0.41 per share for the year [3][8]. - The financial outlook shows a gradual recovery in revenues and profits from 2025 onwards, with expected revenues of RMB 23.35 billion in 2025, reflecting a growth of 4.6% [7][16].