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通信行业周报:Manus或加速国产AIDC产业链需求释放
KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-03-09 07:51

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the launch of the domestic general-purpose AI Agent Manus, which outperforms OpenAI's DeepResearch in performance metrics [5][13] - Alibaba's release of the QwQ-32B reasoning model, with 32 billion parameters, accelerates the development of domestic AI models and applications [6][14] - The report emphasizes four key investment directions within the AIDC industry chain: AIDC data center construction, IT sector (domestic computing chips, servers, and power supplies), network sector (switches, chips, optical communication), and cloud computing [7][16] Summary by Sections 1. Investment Insights - The performance of the AI Agent Manus is noted as exceptional, with capabilities that extend beyond simple task execution to complex problem-solving [13] - The report anticipates a surge in AI applications driven by the open-source model trend, particularly with major cloud providers announcing significant investments [16] 2. Communication Data Tracking - By 2024, the total number of 5G base stations in China is projected to reach 4.251 million, with a net increase of 874,000 stations from the end of 2023 [24] - The number of 5G mobile phone users is expected to reach 1.014 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.96% [24] - In December 2024, 5G mobile phone shipments are forecasted to be 30.433 million units, accounting for 88.1% of total shipments, with a year-on-year increase of 25.76% [24] 3. Operator Performance - The report details strong revenue growth in cloud services for major operators, with China Mobile's cloud revenue reaching 50.4 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, a 19.3% increase year-on-year [38] - China Telecom's Tianyi Cloud revenue for the same period is projected at 55.2 billion yuan, up 20.3% year-on-year [38] - China Unicom's cloud revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 is expected to be 43.9 billion yuan, reflecting a 19.5% increase [38]