Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [3]. Core Insights - The company, Xiaxia Precision, is a leader in small modulus gears and is expected to expand into the humanoid robot sector, which presents significant growth opportunities [2][9]. - The report highlights the company's core advantages, including product synergy, technological capabilities, and strong customer resources, particularly in the automotive sector [2][15]. Summary by Sections Business Overview - Xiaxia Precision is a leading domestic small modulus gear manufacturer, with automotive gears accounting for 60% of its revenue in 2023, and a gross margin of approximately 29% [12][29]. - The company has shown a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% in revenue and 24% in net profit from 2019 to 2023 [17]. Humanoid Robot Market Potential - The report identifies screws and reducers as core components for humanoid robots, with a significant market potential as the industry matures [9][34]. - The market for planetary roller screws is projected to reach approximately 668 billion yuan if annual production of humanoid robots reaches 500,000 units [43]. Gear Business - The global gear market was valued at 1.3 trillion yuan in 2023, with expectations for the automotive and electric tool gear markets to reach 112.8 billion yuan and 35.3 billion yuan, respectively, by 2025 [3]. - The company has established a strong customer base and has formed advantages in technology, production, and quality control, positioning itself as a leader in the small modulus precision cylindrical gear market [3][19]. Financial Forecast - The company is expected to generate revenues of 685 million yuan in 2024, with a projected net profit of 68 million yuan, reflecting a 5% decrease year-on-year [4]. - The projected earnings per share for 2024-2026 are 1.1 yuan, 1.4 yuan, and 1.5 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 90, 71, and 64 [4][21].
夏厦精密深度报告：小模数齿轮龙头，期待人形机器人领域打开成长空间