Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Strong Buy" with an expected relative return of over 20% within six months [24]. Core Viewpoints - The market is currently in an upward trend, with the core observation being the market's profitability effect, which is currently at 1.40% and remains positive, indicating the potential for continued upward movement [2][3][7]. - The report recommends maintaining a stable position until the upcoming financial and inflation data is released, while also suggesting a focus on technology sectors, particularly AI+Healthcare, domestic computing power, and robotics [2][3][7]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The Wind All A Index has shown a weekly increase of 2.43%, with small-cap stocks (CSI 2000) rising by 3.99%, mid-cap stocks (CSI 500) by 2.63%, and large-cap stocks (CSI 300) by 1.39% [8]. - The distance between the short-term (20-day) and long-term (120-day) moving averages has increased from 5.46% to 5.59%, indicating a continued upward trend [2][9]. Valuation Metrics - The overall PE of the Wind All A Index is at the 60th percentile, indicating a medium level, while the PB is at the 20th percentile, suggesting a lower valuation level [10]. - The report advises a 90% allocation in absolute return products based on the current market conditions [10]. Sector Allocation - The industry allocation model continues to recommend sectors that are in a turnaround phase, specifically the Hong Kong Stock Connect internet and battery-related industries [3][7]. - The TWO BETA model continues to favor technology sectors, with a focus on AI+Healthcare, domestic computing power, and robotics [3][7].
量化择时周报:上行趋势仍在延续,科技仍是主线
Tianfeng Securities·2025-03-09 10:20