机械设备行业简评：挖机1-2月内销大幅增长，全年行业复苏或将确立

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating that the industry index is expected to outperform the CSI 300 index by 10% or more over the next six months [8]. Core Insights - The excavator and loader sales in January-February 2025 showed significant growth, suggesting a potential industry recovery throughout the year [3][5]. - Domestic excavator sales increased by 51.4% year-on-year, driven by low base effects from the previous year, accelerated infrastructure investment, and supportive government policies [5][7]. - The loader sales also experienced a 16.5% year-on-year increase, with electric loaders showing a notable penetration rate of 14.49% [5][7]. - The government is focusing on stabilizing the real estate market and promoting urbanization, which is expected to support demand for construction machinery [5][7]. - Domestic manufacturers are adjusting prices upward due to recovering demand and improved competition dynamics [5][7]. - The report suggests monitoring leading companies with strong brand recognition and efficient cost structures, such as Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and LiuGong, as they are well-positioned for growth [5][7]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In January-February 2025, a total of 31,782 excavators were sold, marking a 27.2% increase year-on-year, with domestic sales reaching 17,045 units, up 51.4% [5][7]. - Loader sales reached 16,650 units, reflecting a 16.5% year-on-year growth, with domestic sales of 8,211 units, up 26.2% [5][7]. Market Trends - The report highlights a trend towards electric loaders, with sales of 2,413 units in January-February 2025, indicating a growing acceptance of electric machinery in the market [5][7]. - The government's commitment to infrastructure investment, with a proposed allocation of 4.4 trillion yuan in special bonds, is expected to further stimulate the construction machinery sector [5][7]. Price Adjustments - Recent price adjustments by domestic manufacturers indicate a recovery in demand, with increases of 10,000 to 30,000 yuan depending on the excavator size [5][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong overseas expansion strategies and robust product offerings, as the industry is entering a phase of accelerated recovery [5][7].