Firm-Level Climate Change Adaptation

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Firms in low- and middle-income countries face significant challenges in adapting to climate change, with small and medium-sized firms particularly vulnerable, experiencing a 12% decline in revenues when temperatures exceed historical averages by 0.5°C [3][12][49] - The study highlights the importance of local policy constraints, such as limited access to finance and burdensome regulations, which exacerbate firms' difficulties in adapting to climate change [12][14][28] - The economic impact of rising temperatures is substantial, with small and medium-sized firms in low and lower-middle income countries experiencing revenue losses of approximately 20-22% for a 1 standard deviation increase in temperature [49][50] Summary by Sections Introduction - The report investigates how firms adapt to climate change, focusing on the constraints faced by firms in low- and middle-income countries [7][8] - It combines granular satellite weather data with firm-level data to assess the impact of rising temperatures on firm performance [9][10] Data - The analysis utilizes data from the World Bank Enterprise Surveys, covering nearly 160,000 firms across 134 countries from 2006 to 2023 [30][31] - The climate data is sourced from the EU Copernicus satellite system, providing detailed geospatial information on temperatures [32][33] Results - Rising temperatures negatively impact labor productivity, leading to lower wages and reduced revenues for firms in low and lower-middle income countries [54][55][60] - The report finds that while large firms in these regions can somewhat mitigate the adverse effects of heat, they still face significant challenges [50][61] - Young firms and those with lower export orientation are more severely affected by temperature shocks, indicating that firm characteristics play a crucial role in adaptive capacity [63][64]