LEAPMOTOR(09863) 群益证券·2025-03-11 06:14Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [3][7]. Core Insights - The company is entering a rapid growth phase, with expected continuous improvement in performance. The recent launch of the B10 model has generated significant market interest, with over 15,000 orders within the first hour of pre-sale [7]. - The company focuses on high cost-performance products, establishing a competitive advantage in the market. It maintains a self-research approach for over 70% of its core components, supporting rapid product iteration [7]. - The company is projected to achieve profitability in 2025, with net profits expected to reach 1.89 billion RMB, 22.4 billion RMB, and 43.9 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7][9]. Company Overview - The company operates in the automotive industry, with a current stock price of HKD 41.50 as of March 10, 2025. The market capitalization is approximately 34.76 billion RMB [2]. - The company has a total share issuance of 1,336.97 million shares, with 1,116.41 million shares listed as H shares [2]. - Major shareholder includes Chen Ailing, holding 25.09% of the shares [2]. Financial Performance - For the year 2024, the company reported a revenue of 32.16 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 92.1%. The net loss was reduced to 2.82 billion RMB, an improvement of 1.39 billion RMB compared to 2023 [7][9]. - The company achieved a gross margin of 8.38% for the year, with a significant increase in quarterly gross margin to 13.3% in Q4 2024 [7]. - Free cash flow turned positive at 6.32 billion RMB, a substantial increase from a negative cash flow of 320 million RMB in the previous year [7]. Sales Projections - The company aims to sell between 500,000 to 600,000 vehicles in 2025, with a projected monthly sales volume of 20,000 to 25,000 units for the B10 model after its official launch [7]. - The sales target reflects a doubling of sales volume compared to the previous year, supported by new model launches and upgrades [7].