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通信周跟踪:AGI第三阶段初见端倪,算力token消耗量快速提升
Shanxi Securities·2025-03-11 14:20

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the telecommunications industry, indicating an expected performance exceeding the benchmark index by more than 10% [1][38]. Core Insights - The launch of the AI agent platform Manus signifies a maturation of intelligent agent capabilities, with significant market interest and a rapid increase in computational token consumption [4][11]. - Manus is designed to integrate various capabilities, including planning, tool usage, and memory, which are essential for executing complex tasks and will lead to a substantial increase in computational demand [4][12]. - The report emphasizes that the domestic computational power sector is currently the largest investment theme, with recommendations to focus on companies benefiting from capital expenditures by CSPs and operators [5][13]. Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The telecommunications industry is rated as "Outperform" with expectations of exceeding the benchmark index by over 10% [1][38]. Market Performance - The overall market saw an increase during the week of March 3 to March 9, 2025, with the Shenwan Communications Index rising by 2.81% and the STAR Market Index increasing by 2.67% [6][14]. Key Developments - The Manus AI platform has been released, showcasing advanced capabilities in handling various tasks, which has garnered significant attention in the market [4][11]. - The report highlights that the introduction of Manus will lead to a dramatic increase in the consumption of computational tokens, with a single task running cost estimated at approximately $2, significantly lower than previous models [4][12]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on domestic computational power, particularly in sectors such as servers, switches, optical modules, and IDC infrastructure, which are expected to benefit from increased capital expenditures [5][13]. - It also recommends monitoring overseas computational sectors for innovations in NV technology and ASIC capital expenditures, especially with upcoming events like GTC2025 [5][14]. - Attention is drawn to edge AI applications, particularly in IoT modules and edge computing, as they align with privacy compliance requirements [5][14]. Notable Companies to Watch - Domestic computational power: Unisplendour, Ruijie Networks, Guangxun Technology, Huagong Technology, Guanghuan New Network, Aofei Data, Chaoxun Communication, Langwei Co [5][15]. - Overseas computational power: NewEase, Tianfu Communication, Zhongji Xuchuang, Taicheng Light, Guangku Technology, Dingtong Technology, Wolong Nuclear Materials [5][15]. - Edge AI: Guanghetong, Yiyuan Communication, Meige Intelligent, Yuntian Leifeng, Yinghantong, Tianzhun Technology, Heertai, Tuobang Co [5][15].