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拓邦股份:7家子公司获国家高新技术企业认定,空心杯电机技术实力彰显-20250312
002139Topband(002139) 浙商证券·2025-03-12 09:05

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - The group has seven subsidiaries that have simultaneously received recognition as national high-tech enterprises, affirming their technological innovation capabilities [8] - The company is positioned to benefit from the rapid development of humanoid robots, with a projected market demand of approximately 2.04 million units by 2030, translating to a market space of about 305 billion yuan, where the hollow cup motor could account for around 20.4 billion yuan [2][8] - The smart controller business is expected to benefit from the AI wave, with a national market size projected to reach trillions, and a CAGR of 13% over the past five years [2] - The company is undervalued as a pure smart controller manufacturer, as it is transitioning towards self-integrated systems based on its deep technological foundation in "four electrics and one network" [2] Financial Summary - The company reported a revenue of 8,992 million yuan in 2023, with projections of 10,542 million yuan in 2024, 12,116 million yuan in 2025, and 14,273 million yuan in 2026, reflecting growth rates of 1.3%, 17.2%, 14.9%, and 17.8% respectively [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to recover from 516 million yuan in 2023 to 670 million yuan in 2024, 887 million yuan in 2025, and 1,085 million yuan in 2026, with growth rates of -37.2%, 30.0%, 32.5%, and 22.2% respectively [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 0.4 yuan in 2023 to 0.5 yuan in 2024, 0.7 yuan in 2025, and 0.9 yuan in 2026 [2] Research and Development - The company's R&D investment accounted for 9.28% of its revenue in 2023, with a total investment of 834 million yuan and a workforce of 2,004 R&D personnel [10] - The cumulative number of patents reached 3,228, including 1,138 invention patents [10][14] Market Position and Valuation - The company is recognized as a leader in smart controllers and is expected to see significant growth in the humanoid robot sector [6] - The company's P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 42.8 in 2023 to 20.3 in 2026, indicating a potential for value re-evaluation [2][17]