Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" investment rating for the communication industry [7][8]. Core Insights - The communication industry index outperformed the CSI 300 index in February 2025, with a growth of 2.67% compared to the CSI 300's 1.91% [7][13]. - The rapid expansion of AI models is accelerating the adoption of cloud computing, with global cloud infrastructure service spending expected to reach 269.36 billion, driven by cloud computing, AI, and computing power deployment [7][23]. - The introduction of DeepSeek's AI model is expected to significantly impact the terminal market over the next 2-5 years, enhancing the intelligence of devices through natural language processing and multimodal reasoning capabilities [7][8]. - The report highlights the strong growth potential in the telecom sector, particularly with the integration of AI capabilities into cloud services by major telecom operators [8]. Summary by Sections Market Review - In February 2025, the communication industry index rose by 2.67%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300 index [13][14]. - The telecom sector saw a diverse performance among sub-sectors, with network planning and engineering services leading with increases of 23.77% and 17.43% respectively [14][18]. Industry Tracking - Global cloud infrastructure service spending is projected to grow by 20% year-on-year, reaching $321.3 billion in 2024, with AI models driving this growth [19][20]. - The ICT market in China is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.5% from 2024 to 2028, with significant contributions from cloud computing and AI [23][24]. - The telecom business revenue in China reached 1.74 trillion yuan in 2024, marking a 3.2% increase year-on-year [30][34]. Telecom Industry Tracking - As of December 2024, the number of mobile phone users in China reached 1.79 billion, with 5G users accounting for 56.7% of the total [34][37]. - The new business revenue in the telecom sector grew by 10.6% year-on-year, contributing to a 2.5 percentage point increase in overall telecom revenue [42][44]. Mobile Phone Industry Tracking - In December 2024, domestic smartphone shipments reached 34.528 million units, a 22.1% increase year-on-year, with 5G smartphones making up 88.1% of total shipments [48][50]. - The report anticipates continued growth in the smartphone market in 2025, driven by government consumption subsidy policies [51][53].
通信行业月报:Manus在AI Agent领域实现技术突破,AI驱动智算中心升级
中原证券·2025-03-12 10:10