GENSCRIPT BIO(01548) 交银国际证券·2025-03-13 02:22Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 28.75, indicating a potential upside of 124.6% from the current price of HKD 12.80 [1][6]. Core Insights - The core business segments are expected to recover in the second half of 2024, with new business lines anticipated to reach a growth inflection point. The adjusted revenue and net profit for 2024 are in line with expectations, with significant growth expected in the life sciences and CDMO businesses in 2025 [2][6]. - The company has shown a strong recovery momentum in its core business segments, particularly in the life sciences sector, which reported a year-on-year revenue increase of 10%. The protein business experienced nearly 50% growth, enhancing the delivery capacity of gene services [6][7]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025 are set at USD 912 million, reflecting a 28.6% increase from previous forecasts. The gross profit is expected to reach USD 541 million, a 58.1% increase, with a gross margin of 59.3% [5][13]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected at USD 239 million for 2025, with a net profit margin of 26.2%, significantly up from 9.0% in the previous year [5][13]. - The company anticipates a strong performance in 2025, with guidance indicating a 10-15% revenue growth in the life sciences business and a 15-20% growth in the CDMO segment [6][7]. Stock Performance and Valuation - The stock has shown a year-to-date increase of 30.08%, with a 52-week high of HKD 17.28 and a low of HKD 8.23 [4][6]. - The SOTP (Sum of the Parts) valuation model estimates the total valuation at approximately USD 8.795 billion, with the life sciences services segment contributing significantly to the overall valuation [7][6].