CATHAY PAC AIR(00293) 申万宏源·2025-03-13 10:19Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Cathay Pacific Airways [1] Core Insights - Cathay Pacific Airways reported a net profit of HKD 9.607 billion for 2024, a 6% increase year-on-year, exceeding market expectations [6] - The airline's operating revenue for 2024 grew by 10.5% to HKD 104.371 billion, driven by increased capacity and strong air cargo demand [6] - The company plans to distribute a second interim dividend of HKD 0.49 per share, raising the overall dividend payout ratio to 46% for 2024 [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for Cathay Pacific Airways are as follows: - 2023: HKD 94.485 billion - 2024: HKD 104.371 billion - 2025E: HKD 109.011 billion - 2026E: HKD 114.937 billion - 2027E: HKD 120.286 billion - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected at 85.1% for 2023, 10.5% for 2024, and 4.4% for 2025 [5] - Net profit forecasts are: - 2023: HKD 9.067 billion - 2024: HKD 9.607 billion - 2025E: HKD 9.008 billion - 2026E: HKD 10.248 billion - 2027E: HKD 10.702 billion - The net profit growth rates are -226.6% for 2023, 6.0% for 2024, and -6.2% for 2025 [5] - The report anticipates a slight decline in passenger kilometer yield for 2025, projecting a year-on-year decrease of 8% [6]