禾望电气：Q4营收净利同环比高增-20250317

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 41.20 RMB [8][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in net profit for Q4, exceeding consensus expectations by 27%, primarily due to a rebound in its new energy control business [1]. - The company has a comprehensive layout in the wind-solar-storage hydrogen business, with rapid growth in its engineering transmission business and successful overseas expansion [1][4]. - The overall gross margin has steadily improved, driven by the growth in the engineering transmission segment and the recovery of the new energy sector [3][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 3.733 billion RMB, a slight decrease of 0.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 440.58 million RMB, down 12.3% year-on-year. However, Q4 revenue reached 1.422 billion RMB, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 25.1% and a year-on-year increase of 52.9% [1]. - The new energy control business faced challenges in 2024, with annual revenue of 2.86 billion RMB, down 4.79% year-on-year, but Q4 showed a recovery with revenue of 1.06 billion RMB, up 15% year-on-year [2]. - The engineering transmission business grew by 16.75% year-on-year, achieving revenue of 562 million RMB in 2024, contributing to an overall gross margin increase to 37.9% [3]. Business Segments - The overseas business saw remarkable growth, with revenue of 260 million RMB in 2024, up 122.74% year-on-year, and a gross margin of 54.2% [4]. - The company’s engineering transmission segment is expected to continue its rapid growth, with anticipated revenue growth exceeding the average for 2024 [3]. Profitability and Valuation - The report projects net profit for 2025 to be 642.36 million RMB, reflecting a 45.8% increase year-on-year, with an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [5]. - The company is assigned a PE ratio of 29 times for 2025, up from a previous estimate of 18 times, indicating a strong market position in the new energy inverter sector [5].