Group 1 - The report highlights concerns over a potential economic recession in the US, driven by weak labor market data and PMI figures, alongside the impact of escalating tariffs under Trump's policies, leading to a significant decline in major US stock indices, with the Nasdaq down over 11% since late February [2][8][9] - The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February showed a year-on-year rate of 2.8%, the lowest since November, and a month-on-month rate of 0.2%, the lowest since October, indicating a potential easing of inflationary pressures and increasing the likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in June [2][8][9] - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is crucial, as market participants are keen to see if Chairman Powell will signal a dovish stance, which could help stabilize market sentiment amid ongoing uncertainties [2][8][9] Group 2 - The report tracks global asset performance, noting that COMEX silver (+4.79%) and NYMEX platinum (+4.51%) had the highest gains, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (-3.07%) and Nasdaq Composite (-2.43%) experienced significant declines [3][30] - In the equity markets, the Shanghai Composite Index (+1.39%) and Shenzhen Component Index (+1.24%) showed positive performance, contrasting with declines in major US indices [33][38] - The report indicates that the energy sector in the US saw the largest gains (+2.79%), while the communications services sector faced the steepest losses (-3.68%) [38]
海外市场周观察:美国经济衰退隐忧与关税冲击交织
Huafu Securities·2025-03-17 09:12