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传媒行业月报:政策有望提振文化消费需求,关注GDC 2025游戏产业最新方向
中原证券·2025-03-17 09:33

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Perform" rating for the media sector, in line with the overall market performance [1]. Core Insights - The recent "Consumption Promotion Special Action Plan" by the central government is expected to boost cultural consumption demand, particularly in the advertising and gaming sectors [3][10]. - The gaming industry is highlighted for its dual attributes of consumption and technology, with potential improvements in supply-side policies [11]. - The film "Nezha 2" has achieved a global box office of over 15 billion yuan, significantly impacting the domestic box office and audience numbers [12]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with a high proportion of consumer goods clients and stable channel growth, such as Focus Media [3][10]. 2. Market Review - From February 13 to March 13, 2025, the media sector declined by 2.94%, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 0.37% [3][13]. - The media sector's PE ratio as of March 13, 2025, is 25.64 times, with a historical percentile of 67.50% [3][20]. 3. Industry News - The report discusses various industry developments, including the approval of 110 domestic game licenses in February 2025, indicating a stable trend in license issuance [22][42]. - The government emphasizes the importance of boosting consumption and enhancing the quality of supply in emerging sectors [22]. 4. Monthly Industry Data Film Market - In February 2025, the domestic film market generated a box office of 16.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 44.80% [25][29]. - The average ticket price was 47.47 yuan, with a total of 3.39 billion audience visits [24][25]. Game Market - The domestic game market's actual sales revenue in January 2025 was 31.08 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 27.65% [41][42]. - The mobile game market generated 21.99 billion yuan in January 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 29.87% [41]. TV and Variety Show Market - The top five TV dramas in February 2025 included "Six Sisters" and "Five Blessings," while the top five online variety shows included "Detective Season" [38][39].