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医药行业周报:流动性改善+基本面反转,看好港股高值耗材后续行情,重点关注归创通桥、心泰医疗、微创脑科学等
德邦证券·2025-03-17 10:23

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector [2]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the improvement in liquidity and the reversal of fundamentals in the Hong Kong high-value consumables market, with a focus on companies like Guichuang Tongqiao, Xintai Medical, and Micron Brain Science [9][10]. - The vascular intervention high-value consumables market in China shows significant growth potential due to low domestic penetration rates and high growth rates, with a market size of 55.9 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.77% [15][16]. - The report emphasizes the strong performance of selected Hong Kong high-value consumables companies, which have shown high revenue growth and a significant reduction in profit losses, with expectations of profitability in the first half of 2024 [5][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Overview - The report notes that the liquidity in the Hong Kong market has improved significantly, reaching the highest weekly trading volume since 2020, driven by low valuations and the revaluation of Chinese tech assets [9]. - The vascular intervention high-value consumables market remains underpenetrated compared to developed countries, indicating substantial growth opportunities [10]. 2. Company Focus - Guichuang Tongqiao has entered a profit release phase, with a revenue of 364 million yuan in the first half of 2024, marking a 58.2% increase year-on-year [22][28]. - Xintai Medical is focused on biodegradable materials and has launched 22 products, with a revenue of 249 million yuan in the first half of 2024, reflecting a 49.74% increase [29][34]. - Micron Brain Science, a leader in the neuro-intervention market, has a diverse product line and expects significant revenue growth, projecting a net profit of 236 to 270 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 75% to 100% [35][38]. 3. Performance Metrics - The report indicates that the overall performance of the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector has outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a year-to-date increase of 3.99% [5]. - The report lists the top-performing stocks in the sector, including Jincheng Pharmaceutical, with a remarkable increase of 42.43% [5]. 4. Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on companies that leverage AI in healthcare, particularly those with extensive patient data and insurance data, as they are expected to have significant application potential [5]. - A monthly investment portfolio is recommended, including companies like Kangfang Biotech, Zai Ding Pharmaceutical, and others [5].