GigaDevice(603986) 诚通证券·2025-03-18 12:30Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, citing its position as a leading domestic supplier of NOR Flash and MCU products, benefiting from AI applications and domestic substitution trends [12]. Core Insights - The company is a leading multi-category integrated chip supplier in China, established in 2005, with a focus on memory, 32-bit general-purpose MCUs, sensors, and analog products. It ranks first globally in Fabless Flash supply and second in the NOR Flash market [1][17]. - The semiconductor industry is entering a new upcycle, with significant growth in storage demand driven by AI applications. Global semiconductor sales are projected to reach $627.6 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 19.1%, with storage chip sales expected to grow by 78.9% [4][50]. Company Overview - The company has a diverse product portfolio, including memory (NOR, NAND, and niche DRAM), 32-bit MCUs, and sensors, with applications across various sectors such as industrial, automotive, consumer electronics, and IoT [1][35]. - It is the second-largest NOR Flash supplier globally, with a cumulative shipment of over 23.7 billion units, and has a strong presence in the SPI NAND Flash market [2][36]. Product Analysis - The company has successfully launched 51 series of GD32 MCUs, with over 600 products shipped, achieving a cumulative shipment of over 1.5 billion units by the end of 2023 [3][41]. - The storage segment remains the primary revenue source, accounting for 71% of total revenue in 2023, with a focus on high-performance and low-power products [29][33]. Industry Trends - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a resurgence, with a projected increase in global semiconductor sales and a significant rise in storage chip demand due to AI applications [4][50]. - The domestic substitution process is accelerating, particularly in the context of U.S. export controls affecting HBM products, which is driving the Chinese storage industry towards self-sufficiency [4][50][58]. Financial Projections - The company anticipates revenues of 7.35 billion, 9.33 billion, and 11.2 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with net profits expected to grow significantly [12][22]. - The report highlights a recovery in profitability, with a projected net profit of 1.09 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 577.2% [12][22].