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行业周报(2.10-2.16):各省持续出台绿电政策,板块因市场风格切换表现低迷-20250319
Great Wall Securities·2025-02-18 07:48

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the power and utilities sector, with specific stock recommendations including "Buy" and "Hold" for various companies [1][7]. Core Insights - The sector is experiencing a shift in market sentiment, leading to a decline in performance despite ongoing green electricity policies being implemented across provinces [1][2]. - The overall valuation of the sector is decreasing, with the current PE ratio at 16.43, down from 19.17 a year ago, indicating a potential investment opportunity as valuations normalize [2][20]. - The report highlights the stability of the nuclear and hydropower sectors, suggesting that they are good candidates for investment during market downturns [6][7]. Market Performance Summary - The overall performance of the utilities sector saw a decline of 0.17% during the week of February 10-16, 2025, underperforming compared to major indices like the Shanghai Composite and CSI 300 [2][10]. - The sector's PE ratio has decreased from 16.48 to 16.43 over the past week, while the PB ratio remains stable at 1.71 [20][21]. - Among sub-sectors, thermal power and wind power saw declines of 0.96% and 1.09%, respectively, while electric energy services increased by 1.55% [2][10]. Individual Stock Performance - The top-performing stocks for the week included Guang'an Aizhong (+22.48%) and Kaitian Gas (+18.09%), while the worst performers were Zhongmin Energy (-6.49%) and Jinkai New Energy (-5.92%) [3][24]. - Specific stock recommendations include "Buy" for Guodian Power and "Hold" for China Nuclear Power, indicating a focus on companies with stable fundamentals [6][7]. Industry Dynamics - Recent government initiatives include enhancing the data management for green certificate issuance and promoting the development of green hydrogen projects in Gansu [31][32]. - The report notes the adjustment of biomass power generation pricing in Sichuan to align with coal-fired power generation rates, which may impact the competitiveness of biomass projects [32]. - The exploration of cross-regional electricity trading in Shandong aims to facilitate surplus green electricity cooperation, indicating a strategic shift towards renewable energy integration [33][34].