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汇丰控股(00005):2024财年业绩点评:利润增长稳健,开启新一轮20亿美金回购计划

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company aims to achieve an average tangible equity return of approximately 15% over the three-year period from 2025 to 2027, excluding the impact of notable items. The forecast for net interest income from banking operations in 2025 is approximately 42billion,withexpectedcreditlossprovisionsrangingfrom30to40basispointsofaverageloans[4][5]Thecompanyplanstomaintainacommonequitytier1capitalratiobetween1442 billion, with expected credit loss provisions ranging from 30 to 40 basis points of average loans [4][5] - The company plans to maintain a common equity tier 1 capital ratio between 14% and 14.5% and a target payout ratio of 50% for 2025. A share buyback plan of up to 2 billion is expected to be completed before the announcement of Q1 2025 results [4][5] - The company has repurchased a total of 20billioninsharesbetween2023and2024,representingabout1120 billion in shares between 2023 and 2024, representing about 11% of shares outstanding as of the end of 2022 [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - For the fiscal year 2024, total revenue is projected to be 65.9 billion, with a year-on-year growth of -0.3%. The net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders is expected to be 22.9billion,reflectinga2.222.9 billion, reflecting a 2.2% increase year-on-year [5][6] - The diluted earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is estimated at 1.24, with dividends per share projected at 0.87[5][6]Thecompanyreportedanetinterestmarginof1.560.87 [5][6] - The company reported a net interest margin of 1.56% for 2024, a decrease of 10 basis points compared to 2023, with net interest income of 43.7 billion, down $4 billion year-on-year [4][5]