NANSHAN FASHION(SZ:300918) ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-02-21 13:00Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2]. Core Insights - Nanshan Zhishang is a leading player in the domestic fine woolen fabric market, actively expanding into new material fiber businesses, establishing a dual-core development strategy that integrates traditional woolen clothing and new material fiber [4][9]. - The company has successfully built projects for 3,600 tons of ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene fiber and an annual production of 80,000 tons of high-performance differentiated nylon filament, indicating strong growth potential in both traditional and new material sectors [4][9]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 16.51 billion yuan in 2024 to 29.37 billion yuan in 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 3.15% and 27.28% respectively [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 1.93 billion yuan in 2024, increasing to 3.08 billion yuan by 2026, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of -5% and +26% [4]. - The earnings per share are forecasted to rise from 0.54 yuan in 2024 to 0.85 yuan in 2026 [2]. Business Segments Traditional Business - The traditional woolen and clothing sectors are expected to maintain steady growth, with the wool textile industry in China projected to reach a market size of 8.64 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a CAGR of 4.7% from 2019 to 2023 [4][5]. - The company has a comprehensive wool textile and clothing production chain, with a fine woolen fabric capacity of 16 million meters and clothing capacities of 750,000 suits and 650,000 shirts [4]. New Materials - The nylon filament sector is experiencing robust demand, with the company’s 80,000-ton differentiated nylon filament capacity gradually being released, contributing significantly to profit [5]. - The ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene (UHMWPE) market is characterized by a supply-demand gap, with the company’s projects in this area expected to enhance revenue and profit as production scales up [4][5]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - Nanshan Zhishang benefits from strong backing by Nanshan Group, which provides substantial support for its chemical fiber business through its subsidiary, Yulong Petrochemical [4][10]. - The company has established a mature R&D and sales team, enhancing its competitive edge in the nylon and UHMWPE markets [4][5]. Growth Drivers - The report highlights the increasing penetration of nylon in outdoor sports apparel, with the market for PA6 expected to grow significantly, driven by rising consumer demand [26][27]. - The domestic market for PA66 is projected to see a consumption increase of 31.3% in 2024, further stimulating growth in the nylon sector [29].