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生猪行业动态跟踪报告(月度):1月上市猪企出栏量同环比均下降,出栏均价同比上升环比回落-2025-02-24
Western Securities·2025-02-24 15:14

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Overweight" [4] Core Insights - In January 2025, the total number of pigs slaughtered by listed companies was 9.2002 million, showing a year-on-year decrease of 0.76% and a month-on-month decrease of 7.89%. The decline in slaughter volume is attributed to the earlier timing of the Spring Festival, which led to a general decrease in operational rates in the pig industry [10][19] - The revenue for listed pig companies in January 2025 was 14.430 billion yuan, an increase of 23.72% year-on-year but a decrease of 14.10% month-on-month. The significant year-on-year revenue growth is due to higher slaughter prices compared to the previous year, while the month-on-month decline is due to a drop in slaughter prices [2][10] - The average selling price of pigs in January 2025 decreased by 1.93% month-on-month but increased by 14.72% year-on-year. The average selling prices for leading companies were 15.77 yuan/kg for Wens Foodstuffs and 15.41 yuan/kg for New Hope, with both showing year-on-year increases [2][19] Summary by Sections Section 1: Slaughter Volume - The slaughter volume for listed pig companies in January 2025 was 9.2002 million pigs, with a year-on-year decrease of 0.76% and a month-on-month decrease of 7.89%. Leading companies like Wens Foodstuffs and New Hope reported slaughter volumes of 2.8997 million and 1.4987 million respectively, with year-on-year changes of +9.95% and -13.11% [10][12] Section 2: Revenue and Pricing - The revenue for listed pig companies in January 2025 was 14.430 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 23.72% and a month-on-month decrease of 14.10%. The average selling price of pigs was 15.69 yuan/kg, with a year-on-year increase of 14.72% but a month-on-month decrease of 1.93% [2][10][19] Section 3: Average Weight - The average weight of pigs slaughtered in January 2025 was 102.61 kg, showing a month-on-month decrease of 3.27% but a year-on-year increase of 1.58%. Leading companies reported average weights of 116.97 kg for Wens Foodstuffs and 89.07 kg for New Hope, with both showing month-on-month declines [3][19] Section 4: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests seizing opportunities in the pig farming sector, focusing on companies with strong growth in slaughter volume and stable operations. Recommended companies include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuffs, Tangrenshen, Huazhong Agricultural, and Juxing Agriculture [3][10]