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中国民参军发展报告2025
AVIC Securities·2025-03-03 07:16

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the military-civilian integration enterprises is "Accumulate" [2]. Core Insights - The military-civilian integration enterprises have experienced significant growth, with the number of listed companies increasing from 25 in 2014 to 143 in 2024, representing a rise in market share from 37% to 59% within the military industry [1][2]. - The industry is currently facing a phase of adjustment, leading to decreased confidence among entrepreneurs and capital investors, necessitating a reflective approach for these enterprises to learn from past experiences [1][2]. - The military-civilian integration enterprises primarily operate in the upstream of the supply chain, focusing on supporting roles such as military electronics, component processing, and military information technology [2][30]. Summary by Sections 1. Current Status and Characteristics of Military-Civilian Integration Enterprises - The number of military-civilian integration enterprises is increasing significantly, with a growing market share due to the establishment of a "small core, large collaboration" system and lowered entry barriers [1][2]. - These enterprises are generally smaller in scale compared to state-owned military enterprises, leading to greater survival pressure [2]. - The enterprises are concentrated in regions such as Beijing, Sichuan, Guangdong, and the Yangtze River Delta, showcasing a clear regional clustering effect [2][31]. 2. Challenges and Pressures Faced by Military-Civilian Integration Enterprises - The military industry is undergoing a temporary adjustment, resulting in uncertainty in demand and insufficient orders for military-civilian integration enterprises [7][38]. - Following a period of capacity expansion, the efficiency and effectiveness of these enterprises have not improved, leading to increased competition [8][45]. - The enterprises face significant pricing pressures due to their weak bargaining power in a highly competitive market [8][51]. 3. Paths to Military-Civilian Integration - There are three main paths for enterprises to engage in military-civilian integration: entering the military sector at inception, gradually entering after establishment, or through mergers and acquisitions of military enterprises [10][11]. 4. Development Paths for Military-Civilian Integration - The choice of business sectors and expansion strategies is crucial for the growth of military-civilian integration enterprises, with a focus on high-tech materials and electronic components being common [11][12]. 5. Experiences and Considerations for Military-Civilian Integration - Successful military-civilian integration enterprises have demonstrated the ability to accurately grasp military needs, diversify their operations, and maintain flexible management mechanisms [12][13]. - Caution is advised against aggressive expansion and over-reliance on channel resources, as these can lead to operational difficulties [13][14]. 6. Opportunities and Challenges in the "15th Five-Year Plan" - The "15th Five-Year Plan" presents opportunities for military-civilian integration enterprises to expand their business scale and explore new markets, such as low-altitude economy and commercial aerospace [14][15].