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旺成科技(830896):主营业务稳健,业绩受高基数影响短期承压
830896CWC(830896) 西南证券·2025-03-05 06:43

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Hold" investment rating for the company, indicating a recommendation to monitor the stock without aggressive buying or selling actions [1][7][29]. Core Insights - The company's main business remains stable, but its performance is temporarily pressured by a high base effect from the previous year due to government subsidies. The company reported a revenue of 350.78 million yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.07%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 6.77% to 36.09 million yuan [7][26][29]. - The company is actively exploring the potential of existing business segments and optimizing its business structure, with a focus on expanding into the high-precision transmission components for electric vehicles and enhancing its market share in the motorcycle clutch sector [7][8][29]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecasts: - 2023A: Revenue of 343.67 million yuan, net profit of 38.72 million yuan - 2024E: Revenue of 350.78 million yuan, net profit of 36.09 million yuan - 2025E: Revenue of 384.99 million yuan, net profit of 40.25 million yuan - 2026E: Revenue of 423.50 million yuan, net profit of 45.14 million yuan [2][27][33]. - Growth Rates: - Revenue growth rates are projected at 6.88% for 2023, 2.07% for 2024, 9.75% for 2025, and 10.00% for 2026. Net profit growth rates are expected to be 5.53% for 2023, -6.77% for 2024, 11.52% for 2025, and 12.14% for 2026 [2][27][33]. Business Segments and Market Position - The company specializes in gears and clutches, with a strong competitive position in both high-precision gears and friction materials. It has established itself as a key supplier for major international clients, including Honda and Yamaha [8][11][17]. - The company’s revenue from high-speed gear components accounted for over 55% of total revenue in the first half of 2024, with a gross margin of 21.9% [16][21]. Investment Thesis - The company is positioned to benefit from its investments in new energy vehicle components and clutch technology, which are expected to open new growth avenues. The projected PE ratios for 2024-2026 are 59, 53, and 47 respectively, indicating a relatively high valuation compared to peers [7][29][30].