教育行业周报：卓越教育业绩超预期，持续关注AI+教育-2025-03-03

Investment Rating - The industry rating is neutral [5] Core Insights - Excellent Education's 2024 earnings forecast exceeds expectations, with projected revenue of 1.05-1.15 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 114.5%-135.0%, and net profit of 180-200 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 100.3%-122.5% [1][11] - The company plans to gradually increase its dividend payout ratio to 50%, 60%, and 70% over the next three fiscal years, with a corresponding dividend yield of 3-3.3% for 2024 [1][11] - The introduction of the AI model DeepSeek shows advantages such as enhanced reasoning capabilities, lower costs, and the ability to operate offline, potentially replacing experienced teachers [1][11] Summary by Sections Weekly Insights - DeepSeek's applications in education focus on reducing labor costs and providing personalized solutions for diverse student needs [2][12] - Recommended beneficiaries from AI in education include both 2C training institutions and 2B equipment companies, with specific companies highlighted for investment [2][12] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include China Oriental Education for vocational education, and several K12 training and higher education companies such as Xueda Education, Kede Education, and Tianli International Holdings [3][13] - The report emphasizes the potential for profit margin improvement in K12 education due to policy stabilization and continued growth in summer enrollment [3][13] Market Review - The report notes that CITIC Education's stock fell by 10.45%, while the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 1.72%, indicating a significant underperformance relative to the market [4][20] - Year-to-date, the CITIC Education Index has risen by 6.83%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 5.04% [4][20] Company Developments - Various companies are integrating AI technologies, such as DeepSeek, into their educational products, enhancing learning experiences and operational efficiencies [15][17][19] - Notable developments include the launch of AI-powered educational systems by companies like Kede Education and the introduction of specialized learning products by Hightut Group [43][44]