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赤峰黄金(06693):IPO点评报告

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is 5.4, based on operational performance, industry outlook, valuation, and market sentiment [8]. Core Insights - The company, Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd., is a rapidly growing international gold producer with a significant increase in gold production from 2021 to 2023, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33.1% [1]. - The company has a strong operational efficiency, with all-in sustaining costs below the global average, ranking fifth among Chinese gold producers and 20-30 globally [1]. - The revenue for the company has shown a steady increase, with a 17.8% year-on-year growth for the nine months ending September 30, 2024, driven by higher average selling prices and increased sales volume [2]. - The global gold demand is expected to grow at a CAGR of 0.8% from 2024 to 2028, with central bank demand growing the fastest at 6.9% [3]. - The company is positioned as the largest private gold producer in China, with a robust market outlook and a strong track record in mergers and acquisitions [5]. Company Overview - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. operates six gold and multi-metal mines across China, Laos, and Ghana, with a total gold production of 461.5 thousand ounces in 2023 [1]. - The company’s revenue is primarily derived from gold mining, accounting for 87.6% of total revenue in 2023, with Laos and Ghana being the largest revenue sources [2]. - The company has a unique corporate culture and incentive mechanisms that drive continuous growth among management and employees [5]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the years 2021, 2022, and 2023 were 37.8 billion, 62.6 billion, and 72.2 billion CNY respectively, with a gross margin of 32.6% in 2023 [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same years was 5.8 billion, 4.5 billion, and 8.0 billion CNY, indicating a strong recovery in profitability [2]. Market Conditions - The global gold spot price is projected to rise at a CAGR of 7.1% from 2024 to 2028, reflecting strong demand [4]. - The company’s IPO price range is set between 13.72 and 15.83 HKD, with a total market capitalization estimated at 256.50 to 295.95 billion HKD post-IPO [11].