大公国际：两会解读：全方位提振消费，做强做优国内大循环

Investment Rating - The report emphasizes the importance of boosting consumption and expanding domestic demand as a key focus for economic growth in 2025, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [2][5]. Core Insights - The report highlights the interaction between boosting consumption and the domestic circulation economy, suggesting that enhancing consumer spending is essential for stabilizing and driving economic growth [3][4]. - It notes that consumer spending contributed 44.5% to GDP growth in 2024, surpassing the contributions from investment and net exports, thus underscoring the critical role of consumption in economic stability [7]. - The report identifies significant trends in consumption, including a shift from material to service-oriented spending and an increasing preference for quality and environmentally friendly products [8]. Summary by Sections 1. Interaction between Consumption and Domestic Circulation - The report discusses the necessity of a robust domestic circulation economy, where boosting consumption serves as a foundational element for expanding domestic demand and stabilizing economic growth [3][4]. 2. Current Characteristics of Consumption - In 2024, China's GDP reached 134.91 trillion yuan, with a 5% year-on-year growth, and retail sales of consumer goods totaled 48.34 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.5% increase [7]. - The report notes a clear trend towards service-oriented consumption, with per capita spending reaching 28,227 yuan, a 5.3% increase, and a notable rise in domestic travel and service consumption [8]. 3. Favorable Conditions for Boosting Consumption - The report emphasizes the need for coordinated fiscal and monetary policies to support consumption, including a projected 3 trillion yuan in special bonds for consumer goods replacement programs in 2025 [9][10]. - It highlights the importance of integrating industrial and regional policies to foster balanced economic development across different regions, thereby enhancing overall market vitality [11]. 4. Deepening Reforms and Optimizing the Business Environment - The report outlines ongoing supply-side structural reforms aimed at optimizing production capacity and enhancing innovation, with a focus on high-tech manufacturing growth [12]. - It stresses the need for a better business environment to stimulate market activity, including measures to prevent unhealthy competition and promote fair market practices [13].