BOCOM International·2025-03-14 15:24Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to several companies in the battery industry, including Ningde Times, Yiwei Lithium Energy, Guoxuan High-Tech, and Zhongxin Innovation, with target prices indicating potential upside [2][19]. Core Insights - In February 2025, China's power battery installation volume reached 34.9 GWh, showing a year-on-year increase of 94.1% [5][10]. - The export of batteries from China in February 2025 was 21.1 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 144.7%, with energy storage batteries accounting for 39.4% of total exports [5][13]. - The report highlights the acceleration of overseas expansion by Chinese cylindrical battery manufacturers and the entry of South Korean companies into the cylindrical battery market [5][10]. - The U.S. has raised the comprehensive tariff rate on Chinese batteries to 48.4%, which is expected to accelerate the overseas production layout of Chinese battery companies [5][10]. - The report anticipates a significant rebound in the Chinese passenger car and power battery market in March 2025, driven by increased promotions and new model releases [5][10]. Summary by Sections Company Valuation Overview - Ningde Times (300750 CH) has a target price of 314.11 with a current price of 254.50, indicating a potential upside of 23.4% [2][19]. - Yiwei Lithium Energy (300014 CH) has a target price of 56.51 with a current price of 50.49, indicating a potential upside of 11.9% [2][19]. - Guoxuan High-Tech (002074 CH) has a target price of 29.07 with a current price of 23.13, indicating a potential upside of 25.7% [2][19]. - Zhongxin Innovation (3931 HK) has a target price of 15.59 with a current price of 19.38, indicating a potential downside of 19.6% [2][19]. - Ruipu Lanjun (666 HK) is rated as "Neutral" with a target price of 14.25 and a current price of 10.86, indicating a potential upside of 31.3% [2][19]. Market Trends - The report notes a slight decrease in the concentration of power battery installation volume, with CR3 and CR5 market shares at 73.0% and 82.7%, respectively [5][19]. - The report emphasizes the urgent need for advancements in battery energy density and safety due to the rapid industrialization of humanoid robots and eVTOLs, which may accelerate the commercialization of solid-state batteries and large cylindrical batteries [5][10].