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长盛轴承(300718):轴承+丝杠双轮驱动,有望受益于人形机器人产业化落地

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4] Core Viewpoints - The company has a strong foothold in the self-lubricating bearing business, demonstrating stable operations and continuous growth in performance [2][20] - The dual drive of bearings and ball screws is expected to benefit significantly from the industrialization of humanoid robots [3][29] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for bearings in the humanoid robotics sector, with established partnerships with leading manufacturers [3][32] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 1995, the company focuses on self-lubricating bearings, low-friction components, and precision castings, serving multiple industries with a solid customer base [2][12] - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 1.11 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 3.2%, with a CAGR of 11.47% from 2015 to 2023 [2][20] Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 242.24 million CNY in 2023, a significant increase of 137.3% year-on-year, with a CAGR of 10.5% from 2015 to 2023 [2][20] - The gross profit margin for 2023 was 21.88%, up 132 basis points year-on-year, while the net profit margin reached 35.81%, an increase of 22 basis points [27] Market Opportunities - The industrialization of humanoid robots is anticipated to drive demand for bearings, with the company already becoming a core supplier for leading firms in this sector [3][32] - The company is also expanding into the micro ball screw market, which is expected to see increased demand due to advancements in robotic technology [3][33] Profit Forecast - The report forecasts net profits for 2024-2026 to be 251 million CNY, 276 million CNY, and 319 million CNY respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 119, 108, and 93 [4][42]