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育儿补贴新政落地,婴童概念股获提振
Guoyuan Securities2·2025-03-14 12:58

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the infant and maternal market due to new birth subsidy policies and expected recovery in consumer spending [1][4]. Core Insights - The introduction of substantial birth subsidies in various regions, particularly in Hohhot, aims to alleviate childcare costs and enhance birth rates [3][4]. - The expected increase in newborn numbers in 2024, with a projected rise to 9.54 million, represents a 5.77% increase from 2023, marking the first rebound since 2017 [4]. - The report highlights a potential recovery in the maternal and infant market, driven by rising birth rates and supportive government policies [5][6]. Summary by Sections - Birth Subsidy Policies: Hohhot has implemented a one-time subsidy of 10,000 yuan for the third child, which is the highest among Chinese cities, aimed at encouraging higher birth rates [3]. - Population Trends: The birth rate in China has significantly declined from 13.03‰ in 2013 to 6.39‰ in 2023, but is expected to recover in the coming years due to favorable cultural factors and financial incentives [4]. - Market Recovery: The maternal and infant market has faced challenges due to declining birth rates, with a 13.9% drop in infant formula sales in 2023. However, the report anticipates a rebound in consumption driven by increased birth rates and supportive policies [6]. - Investment Opportunities: The report suggests focusing on companies related to infant formula, diapers, and baby products, including China Feihe, H&H International, Mengniu Dairy, and Goodbaby International [6].